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| Friday, 30 September 2005 12:24 | | BNN: British Nursing News Online · www.bnn-online.co.uk
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The life expectancy of 65-year-old men may soon increase by three years to nearly 90, the latest figures from the actuarial profession have suggested.
Mortality figures suggest there has been a vast improvement in death rates and life expectancy for 65-year-olds during the last few years.
But for the first time, the authors of the actuaries’ continuous mortality investigation (CMI) refused to make an official estimate of future life expectancy amid uncertainty that the trend will continue in the coming years.
Brian Ridsdale of the CMI said: "Life expectancy has improved dramatically over recent decades but all estimates of future mortality carry considerable uncertainty. Issues of individual choice, such as diet, smoking or drugs have the potential to slow down or even reverse mortality improvements."
However, based on recent trends, it is though that the next decade could see dramatic increases in life expectancy.
In 1997, the CMI predicted that by this year a 65-year-old man would be likely to live until the age of 83 years and one month, but in reality, a 65-year-old man in 2005 can expect to live to 86.
On this basis, by 2015, life expectancy will have increased to 89 years and 10 months with serious implications for the finances of the state and occupational pension schemes.
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